UK Construction Market Report 3Q 2024
Materials
Key statistics:
Impacts from conflicts
of respondents said they experienced impacts from conflicts on their projects in 2Q 2024.
Construction materials
change in the 'All work' Construction Materials Price Index between January and May 2024.
Fabricated structural steel
increase in fabricated structural steel prices since February 2020 (pre-pandemic).
Recently, the ‘All Work’ Construction Materials Price Index has shown increased stability. The May update reveals a slight monthly increase but a 2.0% decrease compared to the same period last year.
Although the escalation in material costs has stabilised, the index remains 39.5% higher than in February 2020, prior to the pandemic.
Despite the index peaking in July 2022, the costs of some products have continued to rise, whilst notable reductions have been observed in fabricated structural steel reinforcement and timber.
Overall, price increases are now more predictable and less volatile, with most products and materials readily available.
In our 3Q 2024 survey, nearly one in five respondents (16%) reported that their projects were affected by conflicts, such as those in Ukraine, Gaza and the Houthi Red Sea attacks, during 2Q 2024, leading to extended lead-in times for some products.
The Construction Leadership Council's (CLC) Material Supply Chain Group reported good levels of product availability as the summer holiday period began, citing subdued demand across most sectors. It commented that it is "difficult to see the market improving before the turn of the year, and suppliers have adjusted capacity to meet current demand."
Brickmaker Forterra agreed, observing little evidence of a sustained recovery in the near term, despite modest signs of improving demand in recent months. The company reported a revenue decline of more than 10% in the first half of 2024 due to worsening market conditions.
The CLC warned about suppliers' ability to rapidly increase output to meet a surge in demand when the market improves. The key to addressing this challenge lies in accurate forward forecasts and extended lead times for orders. It emphasised that manufacturers can scale up production within two to three months but require advance notice of orders to achieve this.
Concrete According to DBT data, the price of ready-mixed concrete rose by 6.5% year-on-year to May 2024. Pricing pressures are also affecting green cement alternatives, such as Ground Granulated Blast Furnace Slag.
An overview by the World Cement Association indicates that the European cement market faces a complex outlook. Despite weak global demand, the region's cement industry is expected to maintain high prices and gross margins due to reduced fuel costs and disciplined market strategies. Although post-COVID cost pressures initially drove up cement prices, the decline in energy prices in 2023 has not significantly lowered them.
Smaller producers face challenges in adopting expensive carbon capture technology, which could lead to plant closures and market shortages. Increased imports from regions such as North Africa and the Mediterranean could help alleviate local supply issues but may also increase competition. Sustainability efforts, including the use of Supplementary Cementitious Materials (SCMs) and carbon capture technology, are crucial despite their associated costs. Overall, European cement prices are likely to remain high amid these dynamics.
Cement and concrete production contribute to 7% of global carbon dioxide emissions. In response, the UN Industrial Development Organisation (UNIDO) and the Global Cement and Concrete Association (GCCA) have partnered to decarbonise the cement and concrete industry, particularly focusing on the Global South.
This partnership, formalised through a Memorandum of Understanding, aims to create favourable market conditions, develop innovative technologies, and collaborate on international events and research to advance decarbonisation.
Steel Data from the DBT and ONS shows that the price of fabricated structural steel surged by 134.2% between February 2020 (pre-pandemic) and its peak in May 2022. Although prices have since dropped significantly, they remain 36.4% above pre-pandemic levels.
A recent MEPS International briefing explains that the outlook for UK steel pricing is currently uncertain, particularly for suppliers to the oil and gas industry. The new government is reportedly considering a ban on new North Sea drilling licences and has withdrawn support for a proposed coal mine in Cumbria, as it prioritises renewable energy by encouraging the development of onshore and offshore wind farms.
Suppliers remain hopeful that the new government will help revive the ongoing weak demand for steel. The government previously outlined plans to invest in modernising and rebuilding the nation’s steel industry and wants 1.5 million new homes built over the next five years. However, MEPS reports that UK steel prices continued to decline in July as supply exceeded demand, reflecting trends observed in mainland Europe.
The future of the UK’s domestic steel supply remains a key concern for steel traders. MEPS suggests that the change in government is unlikely to impact Tata Steel’s plans to shut down its second and final blast furnace at Port Talbot by the end of September. Consequently, the government is expected to respond to Tata's application to the Trade Remedies Authority for a temporary suspension of UK import safeguard measures. This suspension may be necessary to support Tata Steel's transition to electric arc furnace (EAF) production, which will depend on imports covered by the hot-rolled coil quota.
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